Meta ads
@sevenfiguresmp
A study of 578,000+ Meta ad creatives and $1.29B in spend found only about 5% become "winners", so you need to test about 20 truly different creative concepts per winner; lower spend means a lower winner rate; test simple, research-driven formats first and invest in production only after finding winning concepts.
2k plays · 25 Sep 2026

What they said
- "This isn't my opinion." A study "from this year" analysed 578,000+ Meta ad creatives representing $1.29 billion in ad spend.
- Only about 5% became true winners, so on average you need to test roughly 20 creatives to find one winner.
- Typical agency "testing": two static before/afters and two B-roll videos = really two concepts, not four, yet called a creative testing strategy; "then you blame Andromeda (Meta's creative-diversity delivery system) for piss-poor results."
- Reality: you are not testing nearly enough creatives to find winners.
- "The lower your spend is, the lower the creative winner rate actually was in the study."
- To find more winners: test more creatives, and they must be truly unique concepts, not slight variations of ads you already run.
- Creatives do not need to be high production. They should be relevant: research what questions people actually ask about your service and answer those questions in the creatives.
- Test in "super simple formats" so you can test 20 creatives and find a winner; once you find winning formats and concepts, then work on production value.
- CTA: if it sounds like too much work, hit the link in bio and apply to see if you are a fit to work with him.
- Numbers on the screenshot (table "Monthly Meta spend -> creative winner rate"): under $10K: 3.7-4.0%; $10K-$50K: 6.2-6.4%; $50K-$200K: 7.3-8.1%; $200K-$1M: 8.1-8.6%; $1M+: 8.2-8.8%. Visible text defines the winner: "Motion defines a winner objectively as a creative that received at least 10x the account's median creative spend and at least $500 in total spend. So this isn't someone surveying media buyers and asking what they consider successful; it's based on actual Meta delivery data. Even better for your 4-8% claim, [here's the] breakdown by advertiser size like this:". (So the study appears to be Motion's, a creative analytics company; the speaker never names it.)

Try this
- Meta advertisers: Plan for roughly 5% of creatives becoming winners, so budget to test about 20 truly different concepts per winner. The study covered 578,000+ ads and $1.29B in spend, with a winner defined as 10x the account's median creative spend and at least $500 spent.
- Small budgets: Winner rates rise with spend, from about 3.7 to 4.0% under $10K a month to about 8% above $200K. With a small budget, test fewer but more distinct concepts and move spend behind winners fast.
- Count concepts, not files: Two static before-and-afters and two B-roll clips are two concepts, not four. A concept is a different angle, pain point or offer, not a new colour or hook line.
- Choose concepts from research: List the questions customers actually ask and answer them in your ads. Test them in simple formats first, and invest in production only after a concept wins.
- Agencies and freelancers: Use this when a client asks why no winners appear. Report the number of unique concepts tested, not just the number of ads.

Links
- Motion (creative analytics) report/screenshot (name read from frame only).
- Meta Andromeda (referenced), Meta Ads Manager.
- Link in bio to apply to his agency (SMP = social media / "Seven Figures MP"; a growth agency).

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